Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dis Agustsdottir | 38 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Penny | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| O. Brown | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Howard-Bass | 26 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Samz | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Smith | 18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. Haynes | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Helgason | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Black | 36 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. Santucci | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Boyd | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Rokkanen | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| K. McIntyre | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| T. Davis | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. St-Fort | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Beacham | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter