Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 27 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Y. Turner | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. January | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 31 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. Breland | 23 | 0-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Williams | 23 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Hayes | 23 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| B. Sykes | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Coffey | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gülich | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Bentley | 11 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | - |
* = starter