Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -13 (82-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 32 | 10-13 | 5-6 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 17 | - |
| D. Bonner | 31 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Turner | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. January | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 12 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Carson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hartley | 35 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| K. Nurse | 34 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. Charles | 33 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 27 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Wright | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Allen | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Gray | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Johannes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter