Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 38 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| K. Nurse | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Wright | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| M. Johannes | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hartley | 23 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Allen | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Gray | 14 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| N. Raincock-Ekunwe | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Xu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 37 | 9-21 | 4-10 | 8-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Y. Turner | 32 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 31 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Little | 24 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Turner | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Taylor | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter