Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (77-68). Ratings: 2020 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 35 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jessica Breland * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brittney Sykes * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Bentley | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marie Gülich | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maite Cazorla | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 38 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 28 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Arica Carter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter