Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 35 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| E. Williams | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| T. Hayes | 30 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | - |
| J. Breland | 29 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Sykes | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Bentley | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Coffey | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Gülich | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 39 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| B. Turner | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Y. Turner | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Little | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Carter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter