Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Williams | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Thomas | 33 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| B. Holmes | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Banham | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Tuck | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mitchell | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Turner | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Y. Turner | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. January | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter