Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner * | 30 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Arica Carter | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Asia Taylor | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sydney Wiese * | 29 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Candace Parker * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 27 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Alexis Jones | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marina Mabrey | 12 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maria Vadeeva | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter