Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +21 (103-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Elena Delle Donne * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Natasha Cloud * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ariel Atkins * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| LaToya Sanders * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aerial Powers | 19 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Emma Meesseman | 16 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tianna Hawkins | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kim Mestdagh | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvonne Turner * | 35 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brittney Griner * | 32 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Arica Carter | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter