Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | -7.0 | ✗ (28.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +21 (103-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Toliver | 29 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| E. Delle Donne | 27 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| N. Cloud | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Atkins | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Sanders | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Powers | 19 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Hawkins | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Meesseman | 16 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Mestdagh | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Turner | 36 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 35 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| B. Griner | 33 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 33 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Carter | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter