Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 38 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| B. Turner | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Y. Turner | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Griner | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 33 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Thomas | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 27 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Williams | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Thomas | 23 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Tuck | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Holmes | 16 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Banham | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter