Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +29 (98-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes * | 36 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 9-12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Renee Montgomery * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Bentley * | 15 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jessica Breland * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maite Cazorla | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey | 20 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marie Gülich | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 25 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bria Holmes | 24 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Morgan Tuck | 16 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kristine Anigwe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter