Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | -6.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Jones | 29 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Holmes | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Williams | 21 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Banham | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Tuck | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 33 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| B. Sykes | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Breland | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | - |
| M. Billings | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Bentley | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gülich | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter