Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jessica Breland * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Renee Montgomery * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brittney Sykes * | 31 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 10-14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Bentley | 11 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maite Cazorla | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marie Gülich | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 37 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 33 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter