Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Breland | 33 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Sykes | 31 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 10-14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 20 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Bentley | 12 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gülich | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Billings | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mitchell | 38 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Griner | 37 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 29 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. January | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Smith | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter