Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kia Nurse * | 37 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tina Charles * | 36 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Asia (AD) Durr * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reshanda Gray * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tanisha Wright | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Bias | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 36 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter