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2019-06-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - βœ—
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 βœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - βœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream -16 (73-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Natasha Cloud * 33 3-10 0-5 3-3 2 6 2 0 9 - -
Elena Delle Donne * 33 9-16 3-6 0-0 10 4 2 1 21 - -
Kristi Toliver * 29 7-12 3-7 0-0 0 4 0 0 17 - -
LaToya Sanders * 26 3-6 0-0 1-1 8 3 2 1 7 - -
Ariel Atkins * 19 2-8 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 2 7 - -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Aerial Powers 18 2-9 0-3 3-3 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Tianna Hawkins 16 6-10 3-4 2-3 6 1 0 1 17 - -
Myisha Hines-Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Shey Peddy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffany Hayes * 30 7-13 4-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 18 - -
Elizabeth Williams * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Nia Coffey * 24 3-12 3-7 2-4 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Renee Montgomery * 24 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Jessica Breland * 22 1-7 0-0 3-4 9 3 0 0 5 - -
Maite Cazorla 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 6 0 0 7 - -
Monique Billings 21 4-11 0-0 2-3 14 1 0 0 10 - -
Brittney Sykes 15 1-5 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 1 3 - -
Marie GΓΌlich 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter