Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breland | 31 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 30 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 28 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| E. Williams | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Sykes | 23 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Coffey | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Billings | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Gülich | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas | 33 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 32 | 8-13 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| J. Jones | 31 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| A. Thomas | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Banham | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Tuck | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Holmes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter