Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +35 (100-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia (AD) Durr * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kia Nurse * | 26 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Amanda Zahui B * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tina Charles * | 17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Bias | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reshanda Gray | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Han Xu | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tanisha Wright | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kayla McBride * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 11-11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kelsey Plum * | 26 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| A'ja Wilson * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Liz Cambage * | 16 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sugar Rodgers | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tamera Young | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| JiSu Park | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dearica Hamby | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Carolyn Swords | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter