Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -17 (68-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chelsea Gray * | 31 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chiney Ogwumike * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sydney Wiese * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Riquna Williams | 28 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kalani Brown | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marina Mabrey | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alexis Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ashley Walker | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 36 | 11-26 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Yvonne Turner * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Briann January * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Leilani Mitchell | 23 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Essence Carson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Camille Smith | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alanna Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter