Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -17 (68-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 33 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Gray | 31 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Williams | 29 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Wiese | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Walker | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 11-26 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Y. Turner | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. January | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 23 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Carson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter