Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kristi Toliver * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Natasha Cloud * | 32 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| LaToya Sanders * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ariel Atkins * | 25 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aerial Powers | 18 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tianna Hawkins | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams * | 36 | 8-17 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 32 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 23 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Layshia Clarendon | 13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bria Holmes | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Morgan Tuck | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bridget Carleton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter