Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -6 (59-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonquel Jones * | 34 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 7-10 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | - | - | |
| Courtney Williams * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 29 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shekinna Stricklen * | 24 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Layshia Clarendon | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bria Holmes | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rachel Banham | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brionna Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Bridget Carleton | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kristine Anigwe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Morgan Tuck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes * | 33 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Elizabeth Williams * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Renee Montgomery * | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jessica Breland * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nia Coffey * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Brittney Sykes | 31 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monique Billings | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Bentley | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marie Gülich | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter