Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 33 | 4-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. McBride | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Plum | 25 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Young | 22 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Swords | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Hamby | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| S. Colson | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Cambage | 14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| T. Young | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Y. Turner | 36 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| B. January | 35 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Carson | 33 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Turner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Carter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter