Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.2% | 20.8% | -7.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Frye * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Demajeo Wiggins * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Antwon Lillard * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jeffrey Uju * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Caleb Fields | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Michael Laster | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Matiss Kulackovskis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tayler Mattos | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marlon Sierra | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Davis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 40 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Derrien King * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jacob Holland * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lamar Hamrick | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Boe Nguidjol | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Tra'Quan Knight | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Cole Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Musial Gjysma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Gorman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter