Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (73-68). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimond Ivey * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Daniel Utomi * | 34 | 4-14 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Loren Jackson * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 8-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Channel Banks * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Deng Riak * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Cheese | 25 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Roscoe | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mark Kostelac | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Emmanuel Olojakpoke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Copeland * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| William Tinsley * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans * | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Josh Jefferson | 32 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Matt Chastain | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Rey Idowu | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter