Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -8 (86-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Persons * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 20 | - |
| K.J. Walton * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Mallers * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Moses * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tahjai Teague * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brachen Hazen | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ishmael El-Amin | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zach Gunn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Austin Nehls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 37 | 12-20 | 5-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 16 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Seacat * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Joseph Battle | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Adrian Delph | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Breki Gylfason | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter