Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.8% | 22.2% | -6.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshon Taylor * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Sam Bittner * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Braxton Huggins * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| New Williams * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nate Grimes * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Noah Blackwell | 30 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Christian Gray | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aguir Agau | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lazaro Rojas | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brocke Stepteau * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Drew Buggs * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jack Purchase * | 29 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Zigmars Raimo * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Sheriff Drammeh * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8 | - |
| Samuta Avea | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Stansberry | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mate Colina | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leland Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter