Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turley | 39 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | - |
| L. Mayes | 37 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Burpo | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Crane | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Mack | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Outlaw | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Adebayo | 18 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| S. Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Blackburn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Elder | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Washington | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Martin | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Wallace | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Williams | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Tennison | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Taylor | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Heckert | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Jackson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Ford | 5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter