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2018-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 39.4% 60.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +32 (84-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Adebayo * 36 7-22 3-6 6-6 13 0 2 0 1 23 15 -
M. Turley * 33 6-12 1-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 13 4 -
L. Mayes * 29 0-5 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Griffith-Wallace * 27 1-11 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -11 -
A. Burpo * 23 1-4 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 0 0 2 8 -
C. Mack 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
B. Crane 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Manley 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 -
R. Blackburn 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
S. Hill 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Barrett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Outlaw 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Rice * 28 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 2 3 7 7 -
B. Beasley * 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 2 4 -
A. Wittinger * 24 11-13 0-0 0-2 7 2 1 3 1 22 21 -
C. Joens * 24 3-9 2-5 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
A. Andrews * 18 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 10 9 -
J. Ephraim 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
M. Blazek 20 5-5 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 1 2 10 10 -
S. Shewan 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 5 4 -
A. Scott 16 3-10 2-6 3-3 4 2 1 0 0 11 8 -
L. Robins 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Waleski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. McNicholas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter