Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -14 (52-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Stockton | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| C. Smith | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Campbell | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Wirth | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| L. Wirth | 23 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Townsend | 20 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Z. Rice | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Loera | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kempton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Forsyth | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Raggio | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Forcadilla | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Simons | 30 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. McKay | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Codding | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Turner | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Holland | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Ferguson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wedin | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| T. Moe | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter