Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Caldwell | 45 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 42 | 9-24 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| K. Smith | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Thomas | 38 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. West | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. Forbes | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Styles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Mosley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Codding | 40 | 9-12 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 25 | - |
| S. Raggio | 34 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Holland | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Simons | 29 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| C. Ferguson | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Forcadilla | 24 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. McKay | 17 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Wedin | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Moe | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Turner | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter