Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (39.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks +45 (92-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Moore * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| J. Summers * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Oliver * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -8 | - |
| L. Costa * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Rubio * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Skrocka | 24 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| O. Braxton | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Fisher | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Jackson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Penese | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Gast | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Ferreiros | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglass * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Abed * | 29 | 12-19 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 36 | - |
| J. Young * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Douglas * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Ingram * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| S. Smith | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Lucas | 20 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. McLemore | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter