Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell Bison | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.5% | 0.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.5% | 0.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -9 (47-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Slagus * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Kate Walker * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -9.4 |
| Kyi English * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.0 |
| Autumn Ceppi * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -7.8 |
| Abby Kapp * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.0 |
| Tessa Brugler | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Taylor O'Brien | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Marly Walls | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Rachel Dumiak | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +8.2 |
| Ally Johnson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Maegan Mikkelsen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Kucowski * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | +3.5 |
| Nicole Johnson * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Drew Freeland * | 29 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Olivia Martino * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Makaila Wilson * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | +2.1 |
| Tasha Vipond | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Alex Cantwell | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +4.3 |
| Jiselle Havas | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.3 |
* = starter