Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.5 | ✓ (27.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +48 (91-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Tinsley * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -6 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 28 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -7 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Jablonowski * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Caldwell | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Martinsen | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Payne | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Fuehring * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Carter * | 24 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Durr * | 23 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| B. Dunham * | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Jones * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Shook | 23 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Robinson | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Evans | 15 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Robins | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Duvall | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Laemmle | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter