Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +26 (84-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gorecki | 37 | 4-19 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -5 | - |
| L. Odom | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Williams | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Goodchild | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Craig | 20 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| O. Akinbode-James | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| F. Suggs | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Roma | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Treece | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pulliam | 36 | 6-21 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| A. Scheid | 35 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Hamilton | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 14 | - |
| V. Burton | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Kunaiyi-Akpanah | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | - |
| A. Jamison | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Wolf | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Wood | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Sancataldo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Galernik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hopkins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter