Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.1% | 4.9% | -16.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -26 (59-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holmes | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Bibby | 32 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Howard | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Danberry | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. McCowan | 23 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 25 | - |
| J. Carter | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Scott | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Espinoza-Hunter | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Taylor | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| X. Wiggins | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Tate | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Primm | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. McKay | 30 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Alexander | 25 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| E. Sanders | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| U. Thompson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Moore | 17 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| E. Howard | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jackson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. White | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Benton | 9 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter