Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.7% | 5.3% | -15.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -28 (44-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bibby * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Holmes * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. McCowan * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| J. Danberry * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Howard * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Espinoza-Hunter | 29 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| M. Taylor | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Campbell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| X. Wiggins | 9 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Carter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Scott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Aiyeotan * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| M. Jones * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 32 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4 | - |
| K. Caldwell * | 24 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -11 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5 | - |
| B. Tinsley | 24 | 2-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Martinsen | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Payne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter