Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +21 (71-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mraz | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Duggan | 31 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Hinds-Clarke | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| A. Carpenter | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| A. Parson | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 20 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| E. Squires | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| R. Wiseman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Holt | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Neff | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Mustaf | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Ervin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scaife | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| L. Cannatelli | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Ward | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Bradshaw | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Giacone | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Whitehead | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Fowler | 17 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Phillips | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| M. Dennis | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Wilmoth | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Chandler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Davidson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Szabo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Skeens | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter