Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +36 (103-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Dalton * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gabe McGlothan * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Skyler Hogan * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nygal Russell * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Sage Tolbert * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ledarrius Brewer | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Oscar Kao | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Gable | 19 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Mark Laros | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Khalil Cuffee | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 31 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| S. Buchanan * | 26 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Darnell Cowart * | 21 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike Davis | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter