Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.7% | 2.3% | -20.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars -10 (72-82). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 21-21 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 39 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 40 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mike Davis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brion Whitley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyresse Williford * | 35 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 11-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Jackson * | 27 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| David McFarland * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Williams * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Anselm Uzuegbunem * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Christian Ellis | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Treavon Martin | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Elochukwu Eze | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Kinchen | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jaylen McCoy | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter