Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +21 (90-69). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Hicks * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| DeVon Cooper * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| James Baker * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lamontray Harris * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Djimon Henson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sasha Sukhanov | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Malik Riddle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ja'Cori Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Brown * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 32 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 28 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mike Davis | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DaQuan Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter