Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✗ (24.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +20 (88-68). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Devin Gilmore | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Davis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Burnell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 38 | - |
| Marlon Hunter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Ty Hudson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Christian Cunningham * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jamall Gregory * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jacara Cross | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Detrick Mostella | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Dunlap | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Derek St. Hilaire | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| De'Torrion Ware | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maros Zeliznak | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Hyde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter