Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| DeVon Cooper * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Lamontray Harris * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Hicks * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Djimon Henson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malik Riddle | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ja'Cori Wilson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| James Baker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Sukhanov | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Richard Feagin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Muszynski * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 33 | - |
| Caleb Hollander * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Grayson Murphy * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Windler * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kevin McClain * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Michael Benkert | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nick Hopkins | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Adam Kunkel | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Seth Adelsperger | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tate Pierson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Suedekum | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Sabin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Mayernick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter