Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +19 (73-54). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hughes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Cole Gentry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jaylon Hall * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Loudon Love * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Bill Wampler * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Parker Ernsthausen | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Skyelar Potter | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Alan Vest | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Manns | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | - |
| Tevin Brown * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Shaq Buchanan * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Smith * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Brion Sanchious * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darnell Cowart | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Mike Davis | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| KJ Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaiveon Eaves | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter