Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ca. Martin * | 40 | 6-19 | 2-10 | 9-14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 36 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 35 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Co. Martin * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Porter * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Henson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Zouzoua | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Merrill * | 40 | 8-19 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| A. Porter * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Miller * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Queta * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Q. Taylor * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| D. Brito | 28 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J. Bean | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Brown Jr. | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter