Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +23 (72-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Merrill * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Q. Taylor * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| N. Queta * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| C. Ainge * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Brito | 21 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| A. Porter | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Brown Jr. | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Knight | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bean | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Fakira | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Caroline * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 | - |
| C. Martin * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Porter * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Martin * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Zouzoua | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Henson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Wurm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter