Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +28 (81-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 34 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Arop | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Schakel | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Seiko | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mensah | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| N. Narain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ed Chang | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Sohikish | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ca. Martin * | 38 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Co. Martin * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Porter * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Johnson | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Henson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Zouzoua | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter