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2019-03-09

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 73.9% 26.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (28.2 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.8% 86.2% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +28 (81-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Watson * 34 4-10 4-7 2-4 2 1 1 0 3 14 5 -
M. Mitchell * 33 5-12 3-5 1-4 9 2 0 0 2 14 11 -
J. Hemsley * 33 6-11 3-6 1-2 1 3 2 0 1 16 10 -
J. McDaniels * 27 2-10 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 5 2 -
N. Mensah * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Arop 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Schakel 19 0-2 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Seiko 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Mensah 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
N. Narain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ed Chang 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Sohikish 2 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ca. Martin * 38 7-11 3-6 8-11 6 7 2 0 1 25 28 -
J. Caroline * 37 6-12 1-3 3-10 12 0 1 0 2 16 15 -
Co. Martin * 29 5-8 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 14 9 -
T. Thurman * 29 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 8 8 -
T. Porter * 24 3-4 0-0 7-12 5 2 0 2 1 13 17 -
J. Johnson 21 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
C. Henson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Brown 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Zouzoua 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Cunningham 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter