Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Co. Martin * | 40 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ca. Martin * | 30 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Porter * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| C. Henson | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 37 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Arop | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Schakel | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Narain | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Seiko | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter