Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill * | 35 | 10-20 | 6-12 | 9-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 15 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Abel Porter * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Quinn Taylor * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brock Miller * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Diogo Brito | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Justin Bean | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tauriawn Knight | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Brown Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mensah * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| A. Arop | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Seiko | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter