Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +13 (83-70). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen McDaniels * | 35 | 11-19 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Devin Watson * | 34 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Hemsley * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nathan Mensah * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Matt Mitchell * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Schakel | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Adam Seiko | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nolan Narain | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Aguek Arop | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Joel Mensah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ed Chang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makuach Maluach * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Carlton Bragg Jr. * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Dane Kuiper * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Keith McGee * | 24 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tavian Percy * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Mathis | 31 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Vance Jackson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Corey Manigault | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Pinchuk | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter